IPL 2025 Playoff Qualification After Match 41: Mumbai Surges, Find Out Which Team Has Least Chances To Qualify

The IPL 2025 season approaches its conclusion point, while playoff qualifications have become more competitive with each match played. The renovated playoff chances have led to a major table alteration affecting Mumbai Indians and Royal Challengers Bengaluru post Match 41. The Chennai Super Kings have the least chance to qualify

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Toil and Moil! 💪🏻 #WhistlePodu #Yellove🦁💛 pic.twitter.com/nJ6LiI1nN1

— Chennai Super Kings (@ChennaiIPL) April 24, 2025

Top of the Table: Gujarat and Delhi Almost There

Both Gujarat Titans and Delhi Capitals maintain high probabilities at 91% and 85% to qualify for the playoffs during the summit. The teams are demonstrating strong season-long performances because they need only a couple of victories to reach the playoffs.

Mid-Table Jostle: Bengaluru and Punjab Under Pressure

Royal Challengers Bengaluru (62%) has experienced a 2% decrease in their qualification odds even when holding the same points as Mumbai Indians. Their odds fall because they face a critical ninth match which functions as their final chance to lead their own season outcome.

The changing odds concerning Punjab Kings (58%) reflect the unstable nature of their playoffs qualifications. The upcoming games have become essential knockout matches for teams placed in the middle of the rankings.

Mumbai on the Rise

Mumbai Indians achieved the most significant daily change by increasing their playoff qualification odds by 15% to reach 51%. Coming out of nine matches instead of eight gives Mumbai Indians an advantage over Royal Challengers Bangalore despite having equivalent points and NRR (Net Run Rate). While playing an extra match reduces their long-term chances through this disadvantage the team remains firmly competing in the tournament.

Outside Looking In: Lucknow, Kolkata, and Others

Lucknow Super Giants experienced minor decline in their chances (34%) yet Kolkata Knight Riders (15%) together with Rajasthan Royals (2%) stand at critical positions before any comeback can happen. The current standings of Sunrisers Hyderabad at (1% chance) match those of Chennai Super Kings at (0.8%) because both teams need every match win to stay alive along with external match outcomes.

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