Opinion polls for Mizoram have predicted a MNF win. According to ABP Cvoter, MNF takes home 15-21 while ZPM takes 12-18 and Others scores 0-10, Times Now ETG predicts 14-18 seats for MNF and 10-14 for ZPM and 9-15 for Others.
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In terms of vote percentage, the MNF is projected to secure 32 percent of votes, ZPM with 29 percent, Congress with 25 percent, and other parties with 14 percent. However, the translation of these votes into seats remains uncertain until the results are revealed on December 3.
For the distribution of the 40 seats, the predictions are as follows: MNF is anticipated to secure 15-21 seats, Congress 2-8 seats, ZPM 12-18 seats, and other parties 0-5 seats. The final government formation will be determined once the actual seat allocations are known post-election.
However, in the recent elections in Mizoram, a significant 80.66% of the total 8.52 lakh eligible voters exercised their voting rights, casting their ballots for 174 candidates on November 7.
The political landscape in Mizoram currently witnesses a robust contest with the ruling Mizo National Front (MNF), led by Chief Minister Zoramthanga, facing a formidable challenge from the Zoram Peoples Movement (ZPM) and the Congress, forming a six-party alliance to contend for power.
Meanwhile, Regional parties play a pivotal role in Mizoram’s political scenario. In the 2018 elections, the MNF, an ally of the BJP in the NDA, secured a sweeping victory with 26 seats. Conversely, the BJP, a relatively minor participant in the regional coalition, managed only one seat. Seeking to improve its standing, the BJP aims to enhance its presence in the state. Meanwhile, the Congress aspires to reclaim its prior dominance. Both parties, however, confront the regional dominance asserted by the MNF and ZPM, adding to the electoral complexities in Mizoram.