The all-important Lok Sabha 2024 Elections have finally been wrapped up after the polls being conducted in 7 phases. These exit polls aim to predict the election outcomes and estimate the number of seats each party or alliance might win. However, exit polls have a history of inaccuracies, so their results should be viewed with caution.
As the seventh and final phase of polling for the 2024 Lok Sabha elections concluded on Saturday, attention swiftly turned to the exit polls, which aim to provide an early indication of the electoral outcome. In Haryana, a state with 10 Lok Sabha seats, the exit polls have sparked considerable interest, as the political landscape here is often seen as a microcosm of broader trends in northern India.
Exit polls are conducted by various survey agencies in partnership with news channels. These polls involve asking voters, as they leave the polling stations, which party or candidate they voted for. The goal is to predict which way the election is leaning and estimate how many seats each party or alliance might secure. In Haryana, the primary contenders are the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), the Indian National Congress (INC), and regional parties like the Jannayak Janata Party (JJP) and the Indian National Lok Dal (INLD).
Today’s Chanakya Exit Poll
As per Today’s Chanakaya exit-poll, NDA will be getting around 46% of the voting share (6 ± 2 votes), while INDI Alliance is expected to fetch around the same percentage. However the latter will be getting around 4 ± 2 votes this time round.
India Today-Axis My India Exit Poll
As per India Today-Axis My India Exit Poll, NDA will be getting 6-8 votes this year while INDI Alliance will fetch 2-4 seats this year
However, it is crucial to approach these predictions with caution. Historically, exit polls have sometimes failed to capture the complexities of voter behavior and regional dynamics accurately. Factors such as last-minute voter swings, the influence of local candidates, and the margin of error in sampling can all lead to discrepancies between exit poll predictions and actual results.
Despite their limitations, exit polls remain a valuable tool for gauging public sentiment and providing a snapshot of possible outcomes. As Haryana and the rest of the country await the official results, these early indicators offer a glimpse into the electoral mood, setting the stage for the final verdict that will shape the political landscape for the next five years.
