Bihar Election Exit Poll 2025: Exit poll predictions on Tuesday evening (November 11, 2025) indicate a landslide victory for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) in the Bihar assembly elections. The party-wise projections are out, signaling the likely return of the Nitish Kumar-led government. The Tejashwi Yadav-led Mahagathbandhan alliance is, however, projected to trail behind the NDA in this closely watched contest.
Party-Wise Projections Of Peoples Pulse, Matrize, And More
- Dainik Bhaskar projects the NDA to win 145–160 seats, with the Mahagathbandhan (MGB) at 73–91 and others 5–10.
- People’s Insight forecasts NDA 133–148, MGB 87–102, Jan Suraaj Party (JSP) 0–2, and others 3–6.
- Matrize predicts a clean sweep for the NDA, with 147–167 seats
- People’s Pulse shows NDA 133–159, MGB 75–101, and JSP 0–5.
| Survey Agency | NDA | MGB | JSP | OTH |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matrize | 147–167 | 70–90 | 5 | 10 |
| P-MARQ | 142–162 | 80–98 | 1–4 | 0–3 |
| People’s Pulse | 133–159 | 75–101 | 0–5 | 2–8 |
| Bhaskar | 145–160 | 73–91 | – | 5–10 |
| People’s Insight | 133–148 | 87–102 | 0–2 | 3–6 |
| JVC | 135–150 | 88–103 | – | 3–7 |
| Polstrat | 133–148 | 87–102 | – | 3–5 |
| Poll Diary | 184–209 | 32–49 | – | 1-5 |
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2020 Bihar Assembly Elections: Exit Polls Vs Actual Results
In the 2020 Bihar Assembly Election, exit polls had largely projected a win for the opposition Alliance or RJD-Congress Mahagathbandhan, slightly ahead of the JDU-BJP National Democratic Alliance (NDA).
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The result, however, came out differently, with NDA forming the government again with 125 seats, surpassing the majority mark of 122 in the 243-member assembly.