At a time when the Delhi Assembly Elections 2025 are around the corner with the polling scheduled to be held on February 5, all eyes are set not only on the warring sides but also on those who have made predictions.
The Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) has been in power in Delhi for the past 11 years and expects a hat-trick in 2024. However, the final results will only be announced on February 8, when it will be clear which candidates have won and who have lost.
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Ahead of the election results, the Phalodi Satta Bazaar (betting market) in Rajasthan has made predictions for the outcome of all 70 seats in Delhi, triggering discussions about possible winners and losers.
During the time of the election announcement, the Phalodi Satta Bazaar predicted an advantage for the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP), which had showed the majority mark of 36 seats in the 70-member assembly. However, two weeks before the assembly elections, the market has slightly changed its estimates.
AAP’s Performance
The ruling AAP, which secured 67 seats in 2015 and 62 seats in 2020, is aiming for a third consecutive victory. However, the party is facing corruption allegations against its top leaders, which might impact its seat count.
- Earlier predictions by Phalodi betting market suggested that AAP would win 37 to 39 seats.
- The latest estimates now suggest a slight increase, with AAP expected to secure 38 to 40 seats, indicating a minor positive shift in favor of the ruling party.
Predictions for VIP Seats
New Delhi – Arvind Kejriwal (AAP) vs. Parvesh Verma (BJP) vs. Sandeep Dikshit (Congress)
- According to the betting market, AAP’s national convener Arvind Kejriwal is leading.
- As of Thursday, the betting odds in Kejriwal’s favor were 66-85.
Kalkaji – Atishi (AAP) vs. Ramesh Bidhuri (BJP) vs. Alka Lamba (Congress)
- This hotly contested seat sees AAP’s Atishi, who is also Delhi’s Chief Ministerial candidate, in the lead.
- The odds in her favor are 25-33.
Jangpura – Manish Sisodia (AAP) vs. Tarvinder S. Marwah (BJP) vs. Farhad Suri (Congress)
- Former Deputy CM and AAP leader Manish Sisodia is leading in this seat, as per Phalodi’s predictions.
- The odds in Sisodia’s favor stand at 55-70 as of Thursday.
The final results will only be out on February 8 when the votes are counted.
