---Advertisement---

Business

Global Crude Prices Expected To Trend Lower In 2025, Ranging Between $60–70 Per Barrel, Says Report

While these factors could influence oil prices either way, ICICI Bank believes the overall trend for 2025 will lean towards lower prices. A key reason for this outlook is the expected surplus in oil supply.

Global crude oil prices are likely to trade with a downward bias in 2025, according to a recent report by ICICI Bank. The bank has revised its forecast for Brent Crude Oil, expecting prices to remain in the range of $60 per barrel to $70 per barrel. There is also a risk that prices could fall even further to $55 per barrel.

---Advertisement---

It said, “Global crude oil prices to continue to trade with a downside bias…. We subsequently further lower our Brent Crude Oil forecasts that are expected to trade in $60/bbl to $70/bbl range over 2025.” This is a downward revision from the bank’s earlier forecast of $65 to $80 per barrel.

---Advertisement---

As a result of this new outlook, ICICI Bank now expects the average crude oil price for 2025 to hover around $65 per barrel. This is lower than the earlier estimate of $72 per barrel. The report stated that several global factors could impact the price movements, including oil production by OPEC, economic stimulus measures from China, and geopolitical developments, especially concerning Iran.

While these factors could influence oil prices either way, ICICI Bank believes the overall trend for 2025 will lean towards lower prices. A key reason for this outlook is the expected surplus in oil supply. The bank projects a net supply surplus of 1 million barrels per day (mbpd) throughout 2025.

---Advertisement---

What Else For Global Crude Prices?

This is because of a combination of subdued global demand and higher production from both OPEC and non-OPEC countries. The trend has already started to show in the oil market, data from March and April 2025 points to increased supply levels as compared with the same period of 2024, when the oil market faced a deficit. The shift to surplus in 2025 is expected to weigh on prices further.

The report also highlighted that historically, a net supply surplus has a negative impact on oil prices. As a result, crude oil is expected to continue trading under pressure for the rest of the year unless there is a major geopolitical event that causes a sudden spike in prices.

In conclusion, with oil supply rising and demand remaining weak, the crude oil market is entering a phase of transition, and prices are likely to stay on the lower side throughout 2025.

ALSO READ: From Monthly SIP To Multi-Crore Wealth: Rs 1,00,000 Can Grow To Rs 97,93,07,101 – Here’s How Long It Takes

First published on: May 23, 2025 09:51 AM IST


Get Breaking News First and Latest Updates from India and around the world on News24. Follow News24 on Facebook, Twitter.

Related Story

Live News

---Advertisement---


live

North India Monsoon LIVE: Yellow Alert For Delhi, Heavy Rain Forecast Across Rajasthan, MP, UP, Bihar And More

Jun 19, 2025
North India Monsoon LIVE Update
  • 13:57 (IST) 19 Jun 2025

    Isolated Heavy Rainfall Forecast Across Eastern And Central India Until June 24

N24 Shorts Logo

SHORTS

India

Ahmedabad Plane Crash: DNA Confirms Identities Of 211 Victims; 189 Bodies Handed Over To Families

In the wake of the tragic Air India plane crash in Ahmedabad, authorities have confirmed DNA matches for 211 victims, with 189 bodies already handed over to their families. Civil Hospital Superintendent Dr. Rakesh Joshi emphasized the sensitivity of the process, assuring that government agencies are working round the clock to support grieving families. The crash, which occurred on June 13 in a densely populated area during takeoff, claimed over 240 lives and remains under investigation by aviation authorities.

View All Shorts

---Advertisement---

Trending